Thursday, June 30, 2005

Mesbah Yazdi: Ahmadinejad will form an Islamic Administration

Roozonline:
A recently conducted analysis of the motives of those who voted for Ahmadinejad is causing concern among planners and social scientists. The analysis suggests that in the near future there could be strife between social classes. The planners and scientists have asked high ranking officials to not take a narrow interpretation of votes cast for Ahmadinejad.

According to an unconfirmed source, a report prepared for the highest echelons of government indicates the existence of two groups with opposing motivations among Ahmadinejad's voters. The report warns that if care is not taken, one group can quickly join the disheartened ranks of opposition voters. Such voters, combined with the other half of the electorate, who want more freedoms, could easily result in serious social clashes in the face of hardliner extremist action. READ MORE

Mosebah Yazdi's Analysis

Ahmadinejad's sister and three conservative female members of parliament visited to Mosebah Yazdi, an arch conservative cleric and a thorn in reformists' side for the past eight years, to thank him for his support of Ahmadinejad. Mr. Mosebah stressed the new president's campaign was the only one championing an Islamic government and his victory is a clear indication of the Iranian public's support of Islam.

Student Freedom Activists

Meanwhile a national group of student activists issued a statement warning that if the government draws the incorrect conclusions based on the recent presidential vote and continues its regressive and anti-democratic maneuvers it can expect coordinated and serious reaction from the public especially the university students and young people as a whole.

In their own analysis of votes, these students conclude that if votes cast for reformist candidates in the first round are added to those who boycotted elections and those who didn't vote for Ahmadinejad in the runoffs, eighty percent of the population does not want what the new president stands for. In contrast they are in favor of constructive, increased civic freedoms, and overall social, economic and political expansion. The student group went on to stress that what lead to Ahmadinejad's victory in the second round was not only the rigid constraints placed upon the elections which denies voters freedom of choice, but also an opposition candidate (Rafsanjani) who voters found entirely unappealing. Those supporting an Islamic administration at best constitute fifteen percent of voters, they claim, and this same group may yet choose to cast a different ballot given the opportunity to vote in free and fair elections.

One political analyst observed that the large number of people who voted for losing candidates now constitute an undeniable majority, which is a major concern. But political parties can organize to attract these groups and mobilize them for social and political change. And should the Islamic Republic government impede their activities it will face greater dangers yet.