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Pentagon to Focus on Iraq, Other Hot Spots

The military will have plenty to do in the four years of a second Bush administration. While the war in Iraq figures to dominate all else, as it has the past two years, other potential hot spots could demand attention.

And overshadowing all will be the questions of whether the military has enough troops - and money - to do everything the administration has planned. more

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Problems with Syria, Iran should not be aired publicly: Allawi

Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi said he would use all available means to defend Iraqis against neighboring states harboring "terrorists," but appeared to rebuke his defense minister who has repeatedly slammed Syria and Iran.

"The interim Iraqi government is entrusted with ensuring the security of Iraqi citizens with all available means -- be they diplomatic, political or otherwise -- and we will not hesitate to use them," he told the Dubai-based daily Al-Bayan on Saturday.

"Some neighboring countries host terrorist elements who make plans to undermine Iraqi national security from inside these countries," Allawi said.

But asked about Defense Minister Hazem al-Shaalan's "fiery" remarks about Syria and Iran, which he has repeatedly blamed for violence by anti-US insurgents in Iraq, Allawi said differences within the government were not about substance but about "ways of dealing" with the issue.

"In my judgement, that should be through diplomatic channels, not in a media auction that does not help resolve any problem with this or that country," he said. more

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Mullah lite

Twenty-five years after the revolution, Kevin Rushby meets a new generation eager to shake off the fundamentalist legacy. An interesting read.

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A World Without Israel

Josef Joffe writing for Foreign Policy magazine:

Imagine that Israel never existed. Would the economic malaise and political repression that drive angry young men to become suicide bombers vanish? Would the Palestinians have an independent state? Would the United States, freed of its burdensome ally, suddenly find itself beloved throughout the Muslim world? Wishful thinking. Far from creating tensions, Israel actually contains more antagonisms than it causes. more

A must read.

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White House makes PSI a foreign policy priority in 2005

The Bush administration plans to make the Proliferation Security Initiative a key foreign policy goal in 2005, sources said. PSI would be a tool in any U.S.-led effort to hamper the nuclear weapons and missile programs of such countries as Iran and North Korea. ...

Up to 60 countries have expressed interest in participating in PSI. Washington plans to encourage them to provide intelligence information on the shipments of suspected WMD and missiles as well as air flights. The countries would also be asked to prepare to interdict suspected WMD shipments.

Exercises are planned this year to test interdiction capabilities. Countries are being recruited to contribute to information sharing, military and law enforcement assets. ... more

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The Choice

Michael Novak, of AEI explains why the elections in Iraq and Palestinian Territories will be a plebiscite, too, on which version of Islam should prevail. more

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Toward Nuclear Abolition

Tom Nichols is the Chairman of the Department of Strategy and Policy at the U.S. Naval War College reviews the book:

Toward Nuclear Abolition [Volume Three of The Struggle Against the Bomb],
By Lawrence Wittner
Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2003. 657 pp, notes, bib, index

An important read.

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Has U.S. threatened to vaporize Mecca?

Intelligence expert Jack Wheeler says nuke option is reason bin Laden has been quiet.

"Israel … recognizes that the Aswan Dam is Egypt's Damoclean Sword," writes Wheeler. "There is no possibility whatever of Egypt's winning a war with Israel, for if Aswan is blown, all of inhabited Egypt is under 20 feet of water. Once the Israelis made this clear to the Egyptians, the possibility of any future Egyptian attack on Israel like that of 1948, 1967, and 1972 is gone." ...

"Completely obliterating the terrorists' holiest of holies, rendering what is for them the world's most sacred spot a radioactive hole in the ground is retribution of biblical proportions – and those are the only proportions that will do the job." more

Subscribe to his report, its worth it.

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Iran Pledges to Compensate Syria for U.S. Sanctions

Don't expect economic sanctions to change the policies of Syria's regime. Iran has already prepared for the prospect of additional U.S. sanctions against Damascus and has begun a series of major projects in Syria.

For Iran, these projects are strategic. Teheran does not want to be left alone facing the United States. So, maintaining Syria as an ally in the fight against the United States is a key goal of Iran.

Iran has been constructing a factory capable of producing 1 million tons of cement and is also building a power plant in the port city of Banyas. In all, Iran is prepared to invest up to $3 billion in Syria.

Arab diplomatic sources said the power plant is a strategic option for Iran, since Teheran wants to use Banyas as a port should the United States block the Straits of Hormuz. source

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Iraqi militant admits ties with Iran, Syria

A militant leader suspected of involvement in beheadings and bloody attacks in Iraq confessed to Iraqi authorities his group's links with Iran and Syria, according to footage aired by the US-based and funded Alhurra television.

Moayad Ahmed Yasseen, the leader of Jaish Muhammad, Arabic for Muhammad's Army, was shown in the program aired in Iraq Friday, nearly two months after his capture in Fallujah, the guerrilla stronghold west of Baghdad. ...

He said Iranian officials provided money, weapons "and as far as I know even car bombs" for the group. He said among the officials they met in Iran was its supreme leader Ali Khamenei. more

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Iranian opposition exposes another secret nuke plant

The Iranian opposition group that exposed the nation's covert nuclear weapons program two years ago said yesterday that supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has ordered the effort to continue in secret.

"Khamenei has ordered his regime to not only continue the enrichment of uranium, but to buy time and accelerate the project in order to make the bomb as quickly as possible," Mr. Mohaddessin said.

"Khamenei has ordered his diplomats and his negotiators to prolong the negotiations as much as possible, possibly by between eight and 12 months, which is exactly the time needed to complete the bomb," he said. ...

The site, located in Isfahan in central Iran, would convert uranium oxide, called "yellowcake," into uranium hexafluoride gas, a stage prior to enrichment. He said a test center for centrifuges had been constructed with "utmost discretion" near the site, and that between 120 and 180 centrifuges will be installed there. more

Sound familiar?

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Chirac warns Iran to stick to nuclear pledge

French President Jacques Chirac warned Iran to stick to its pledge to European powers to suspend nuclear activities, saying that adherence would give it access to legitimate technology.

"In terms of the fight against the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, Iran's case show the path to take," he told an annual New Year's meeting of foreign ambassadors in Paris.

"Countries which respect their international obligations in terms on non-proliferation and show proof of the peaceful nature of their activities should be able to benefit from technologies that are allowed under international rules," he said.

"But no weakness can be shown to those who renege on their commitments," he said. more

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Rice's deputy signals less confrontational US foreign policy

The NY Times reports:

Moving to assemble a pragmatic team as secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice has selected Robert B. Zoellick, the administration's top trade negotiator, as her deputy and is considering two veteran diplomats with reputations as moderates for the No. 3 job, administration officials said on Thursday. ...

the team seemed so far to be composed of pragmatists, without anyone identified with a strong ideological bent. more

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Reporters Without Border condemns mistreatment of cyberjournalists and webloggers

Reporters Without Borders has condemned the mistreatment in prison of cyberdissidents and webloggers after an Iranian committee report concluded that public confessions of two of them...

"We fear that the authorities are succeeding in purging the web of all critical content through brutality, intimidation and censorship," the worldwide press freedom organisation said. "In a country in which weblogs and news sites have flourished in the past few years such a setback would be a catastrophe for freedom of expression." more

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The Growing Beijing/Tehran Axis

A few excerpts from this important report:

China and Iran have been cultivating an increasingly close relationship in recent months, one borne from China’s need for energy to run its growing economy and Iran’s need for consumer goods to satisfy its young, West-leaning population. Ali Akbar Salehi, Iran’s former representative to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) recently confirmed this, saying, “We [Iran and China] complement each other. The Chinese have the industry and the Iranians have the energy resources.” ...

Viewing China’s increasing dependence on Middle East natural resources as a national security issue, the Bush Administration has attempted to prevent further energy deals between China and Iran, but to no avail. Indeed, one official from Sinopec, China’s second largest oil company, said last January that, “Sinopec is paying no attention to the U.S. request and will do its utmost to carry on its bidding for an exploitation project in an Iranian oilfield.” more

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Repression Of Iranian Internet Sector Continues

Radio Free Europe reports:

Some Iranian online journalists who were arrested in the autumn were released after writing letters of contrition that were published in newspapers. more

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Iraqi Defence Minister: Talks with Iran out of the question

Iran Focus reports:

Iraq’s Defence Minister Hazem Shaalan rejected the idea of direct dialogue with Iran yesterday, saying that Iran had no interest in dialogue and only sought to destabilise Iraq. ...

“Dialogue is not enough for Iran. Iran wants to take control over Iraq”, Shaalan said. more

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Jordan’s King Burn Bridges with Iran to Underline Arab Concerns

Jordan's King Abdullah II was notably undiplomatic when he accused Iran of meddling in Iraqi elections, and Iran was angry enough to keep its foreign minister away from a regional meeting on Iraq Jordan is hosting Thursday. more

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Iran mullah leader: go kill yourself for allah

Mullah leader of the Islamic revolution mullah Ali Khamenei on Wednesday stressed that enemies of the Islamic Republic are trying to humiliate and diminish the value of martyrdom and the culture of Jihad in the eyes of the youth, particularly students.

In a message to the 8th congress on martyred students held in this southeastern provincial capital, mullah leader urged students to continue to promote the culture of Jihad and martyrdom among themselves as "a source of Iranian national strength and foundation of pure worship."

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A.Q. Khan sold blueprints for nulcear bomb to Libya

Washington: Top nuclear scientist and father of Pakistan's atomic bomb Abdul Qadeer Khan has clandestinely sold nuclear gear to Libya worth 100 million dollars and blueprints for a ten-kilo ton nuclear bomb.

A New York Times report quoted intelligence officials as saying that US experts were unsure who else had those designs besides Libya.

They were not certain if the designs had also been passed on to Iran, Syria or al Qaeda, the report said. more

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Iran officially demands EU3 deliver uranium, UF6, and nuclear equipment

MEHR News reports:

An official close to the Iranian nuclear negotiations on Wednesday confirmed statements by Mohammad-Javad Zarif, Iran’s ambassador to the United Nations, that Iran would be making nuclear demands of the European Union. more

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Intel Drone Crashes in Iran?

In a Debka exclusive:

Unidentified drone crashes at Arak nuclear site in central Iran, according to sources close to Iranian Revolutionary Guards ex-commander Rezai.

Evidence in wreckage of intelligence-gathering at presumed uranium enrichment site. Last week, Iranian air force commander said mystery aircraft reported by witnesses over sensitive sites would be shot down.

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Iraqi defence minister says Iran mainly to blame for Iraq unrest

IranPressNews reports:

Iraqi Defence Minister Hazem al-Shaalan took a fresh swipe
at Iran, accusing it of being mainly responsible for the deteriorating situation in Iraq, in statements published here Wednesday.

"We have a strong belief that Iran is the main accused in the deterioration of the security situation in Iraq, such as illegal entry, smuggling of arms and means of sabotage," he told Emirati newspaper Al-Bayan.

"The proof which we have bears witness to Iran's responsibility in many operations that have shaken Iraq's stability," said the minister, who has previously pointed the finger at Iran and Syria in acts of violence in Iraq. more

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Iran to allow military site probe

In an important development, the BBC reports:

Iran is to allow the UN nuclear watchdog to carry out inspections at one of its most secret military sites.

Inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) are on standby to visit the plant, at Parchin. more

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Iran hard-liner: Nano a key to regional power

Nanotechnology expert Howard Lovy caught this statement of top Iranian hardliner Ali Larijani:

He said a priority in the economy was investment in four fields: nanotechnology, biotechnology, nuclear technology for non-military purposes and information and communications technologies. more

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More MemriTV Videos from Iran

MemriTV has released several new videos:

"Zahra's Blue Eyes" - Episode 4: Zionists Prepare to Implant Zahra's Eyes in Theodor

Romans Crucify Christians and Jews Stone Them in an Iranian TV Series

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Egypt's Secret Nuclear Program

LittleGreenFootballs reports:

Yesterday we noted a report in the Jerusalem Post that Abdul Qadeer Khan’s nuclear black market had given “a major boost” to the nuclear weapons program of an unnamed Arab state; today comes news that evidence of secret nuclear experiments has been discovered in Egypt. more

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Iran boosts air defenses at nuke sites

Arieh O'Sullivan and David Horvitz reporting for the Jerusalem Post:

Concerned that the US or Israel may be planning an air strike against its nuclear facilities, Iran has beefed up its air defenses around various nuclear sites, Israeli security sources have told The Jerusalem Post. Iran is also said to be intermittently pointing its Shihab rockets in the general direction of Israel. ...

Rather than missile delivery of a nuclear warhead, Gissin said the more immediate "nightmare scenario," if Iran did obtain "nuclear-upgraded material,' is that it would be "able to assemble a dirty bomb, strap it to a couple of suicide bombers... and send them." ...

Gissin said the Shihabs were ultimately intended to achieve a range of 2,500 km., which would bring Europe into range. Asked whether Shihabs were intermittently focused on Israel, he said, in "the general direction, that's true." He noted that, at present, "they do have some problems with the guidance system, but no doubt they will solve them." more

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Clerical chic

For Muslims, looking good has a religious seal of approval. And no one reflects this more than the stylish mullahs of Iran. Niloofar Haeri visits the city of Qom, home to the Muslim clergy's top tailors - and some of the best-dressed men in the Islamic world. more

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Iran nuclear fuel deal stalled over fee-Russia

A deal that would clear the way for Iran to start up its Russian-built Bushehr nuclear power plant has been delayed over Moscow's fee for taking back Russian-made spent fuel, Russia's nuclear chief said on Tuesday.

"We have told them they have to pay for spent fuel, just like fresh fuel," Alexander Rumyantsev, head of Russia's Atomic Energy Agency, told Reuters after an informal meeting with U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham. more

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Exporting the Ukraine Miracle

Max Boot writing for the LA Times:

An obvious candidate for a similar transformation is Iran. Even as Iranian students have repeatedly taken to the streets to protest against their oppressors, and Iranian exiles in Los Angeles have beamed TV and radio programming into their homeland, the U.S. government has largely stood on the sidelines. In 2003, the National Endowment for Democracy supported 23 programs in Ukraine worth $1.9 million. In Iran there were only two pitiful programs worth $55,000. more

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Risks of appeasing Iran's mullahs

Struan Stevenson of the Washington Times provides an interesting analysis of Iran's threat to the world, but has made a huge mistake in supporting the MEK.

The MEK are a Marxist revolutionaries and nothing would please the Mullahs more than our support of the MEK.

The Mullahs of Iran understand the degree to which the Iranian people of Iran hate the MEK. US support of the MEK would destroy that trust.

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U.S. jets buzz Iran airspace

WorldNetDaily reports:

U.S. military warplanes flew over Iranian air space, raising Tehran's concerns preparations are being made to knock out its nuclear facilities, according to Iranian news media reports.

The U.S. jets reportedly flew out of bases in Afghanistan and Iraq, with the latest coming Saturday when a fighter buzzed at low altitude an area in the northeastern province of Khorrasan, which borders Afghanistan.

Other reports of overflights cited intrusions by F-16 and F-18 fighters over the southwestern province of Khuzestan, which borders southern Iraq. Papers said the planes appeared to be spying on nuclear sites.

The U.S. military was silent on the veracity of the reports.more

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This is the Chinese Century

The TimesOnline.UK takes a serious look at China's growing influence in world affairs.

Clearly, the United States is still by far the largest and most powerful economy on earth, with the most powerful defence technology. Yet it is China, not the United States, that is changing the global economy. more

Peter Brookes writing for the NY Post also weighs in on Russia's and China's planned miltary exercises.

The unprecedented nature of these military exercises — and the possible long-term implications for American interests in the Pacific — is mind-boggling. After years of relative stagnation, a troubling sea change in Sino-Russian strategic relations is underway. more

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Another Iranian Student Makes His Escape In Face of Charges

The NY Sun reports a key student leader of the Iranian referendum movement has fled the Islamic republic amid a court investigation into his organizing activities.

In a phone interview last week, Akbar Atri, an organizer of the movement in Iran to win a national vote on the legitimacy of the Islamic republic, said he managed to slip out of his homeland last month despite an open government investigation into his efforts to gather signatures for a petition demanding the referendum. ...

"I expect people of the world to support the democratic movement in Iran," he said. "Right now, the Iranian people are suffering from a lack of information. The 20 Iranian satellite networks, mostly controlled by the monarchists, are not helping the referendum. I think the American media should give the message of the Iranian people to the world."

"The Islamic republic will give up anything to foreign countries, just so long as they stay in power. But they will not give anything to the Iranian people. I hope the world will consider the interests of the Iranian people, our human rights, and to live in a free country, before anything is signed with the Islamic government." more

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Influencing Iran's Nuclear Activities through Major Power Cooperation

Patrick Clawson writes again for the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. He suggest specfic diplomatic options surrounding the Iranian nuclear program and discusses the role of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, with particular focus on Russia and China. more

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THE WAY THINGS REALLY WORK: America’s Options Against Iran

Harold C. Hutchison of the Strategy Page asks regarfing Iran’s nuclear program:

“What can the United States do about it?”

His favorite option?

The best option to guarantee a halt to Iran’s nuclear weapons program is to overthrow the imams. There are two ways this can be done; sponsoring the domestic opposition (which has significant popular support), or through an invasion. The former option has worked in the past. In the 1980s, the CIA was able to keep the Polish Solidarity movement functioning as an opposition movement despite martial law and opposition by the Polish and Russian secret police. That said, the effort took eight years, and the CIA back then was run by William Casey. Today’s CIA has become more of a bureaucracy, and much more risk-averse. The other problem with such an effort is that the situation in Iran is markedly different in two respects: Poland did not have a lengthy history of sponsoring terrorist attacks, nor was that country trying to develop nuclear weapons. more

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Jordan will not remain silent if Iran intervenes in Iraqi

Jordanian Foreign Minister Hani Al-Mulqi on Saturday said his country would not remain silent in case of any Iranian intervention in Iraq's internal affairs. ...

An Iranian official source had said Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi might boycott the meeting, due to statements in the Washington Post quoting the Jordanian King Abdullah II as saying that Tehran has been intervening in Iraq's internal affairs and has the ambition of creating a Shiite crescent extending from Iran, to Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. more

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Iran Produces Cladding for Uranium Rods

Iranian officials said Teheran has acquired the expertise to produce cladding for uranium rods. They said this has included Iranian capability to produce zironium for fuel cladding in nuclear installations. The cladding produces an alloy jacket around the uranium rods to prevent the escape of fission products. more

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Interesting Times: Bush's lost year

Saul Singer of the Jerusalem Post asks an important question of President Bush:

Was the relative paralysis of 2004 the result of election jitters, or does it reflect burn-out that will continue deep into Bush's second term?

He answers his own question with:

First, by bringing back moral clarity. Branding Iran, Iraq, and North Korea as the "axis of evil" was the right thing to do. But saying that and then not having a policy, much less implementing it, toward Iran is worse than not having said it in the first place. Since then it seems that Bush has learned not to set such bold markers. That's the wrong lesson; we need more markers and more follow-up. ...

Second, Bush has to show that the 82nd Airborne is not the only arrow in his quiver. ...

Bush has plenty of underutilized and underestimated levers. Imagine if the US started talking about democracy in Saudi Arabia. Or if Bush held a press conference with Iranian dissidents. Or if the US proposed sanctions against Iran and Syria in the UN Security Council.

Such measures would not be as easily deflected by France and Germany as it may seem. more

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Iraq's Shiites rule out Iran model

In a surprise press conference Sunday, leaders of the Shiite-dominated coalition that is expected to prevail in national elections sought to dispel fears that they are under the secret sway of Iran, or have any desire to create an Islamic theocracy. ...

leaders of the United Iraqi Alliance urged disaffected Sunnis to join in the elections...

"Our group believes in sharing power with all Iraqi factions,"...

"We have rejected the idea of a sectarian regime and we believe that Iraq is for all Iraqis." ... more

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Iran's gov't accused of ISP monopoly

A senior Internet industry official accused the government of trying to monopolize ISP services.

"Security concerns has been used time and again as a mechanism to hinder the activities of 200 SME ISPs," more

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Iranians Angry at Officials Defending Death Practices

Death sentences pronounced by some local courts against young women have stirred the anger of Iranians inside and outside the country.

“Executions are not an important matter”, Foreign Affairs Ministry’s senior spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi told journalists last week when asked about international and national reactions to the death sentence against Ms Leyla Mafi, an 18 years old girl who has a mental age of eight. ...

“We have no lesson to receive from the Westerners”, he said, accusing the West of “double standard” practice, “like their treatment of the Palestinians and the Israelis”. more

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Presidential polls in Iran slated for June 17, 2005

Iran's Guardian Council (GC) spokesman Gholam Hossein Elham said on Saturday that the GC has agreed with the coming presidential elections to be held on June 17, 2005. more

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Iran attempting Shiite coup, evidence to air Monday

Iraq’s Defence Minister, Hazem Shaalan, accused Iran today of attempting to “create a Safavian-style Shiite Crescent stretching from Iran all the way to Syria and Lebanon, engulfing Iraq and bringing about corruption in the country”.

In comments made to the Jordanian daily, Al-Qadr (Tomorrow), the defence chief also promised to release in the next two days [from Saturday] footage of “taped-confessions from agents who, acting on foreign orders, were disrupting Iraq’s security”. more

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Iran's Mullah Blames US for Terrorism

Mullah Rowhani here on Thursday blamed US efforts to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries for deteriorating terrorism worldwide.

Mullah said the fact that the US is using other countries as its base for promoting tyranny as well as the torture of Iraqi prisoners have also had a major contribution to the spread of terrorism. more

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Iran's Ebadi to run for presidency

Peace Prize Laureate, Iranian Shririn Ebadi has thrown her hat into the ring in Iran's upcoming election. Many have been expecting this for a long time.
more

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